Victoria election 2026: could Labor's loyal heartland flip to One Nation?

At the 2022 Victorian state election, sitting Labor MP Natalie Suleyman saw her primary vote fall by 18.4%. Subscribe to Guardian Australia on YouTube and hit the bell to see new videos ► https://www.youtube.com/@GuardianAustralia?sub_confirmation=1 Her seat of St Albans was previously thought to be unassailable Labor heartland, its mix of multicultural communities and working class voters insulating it against wider trends across the state. But with Labor facing growing dissatisfaction after 12 years in government, and One Nation gaining support, could the party's heartland be flipped orange? Scare campaigns: Victoria’s major parties trade blows over AI-generated videos of leaders in election ads ► https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2026/nov/05/victoria-election-2026-ai-generated-video-ads-ntwnfb?CMP=gdnaus_yt Explainer: Victoria’s 2026 state election could have ‘great consequences’ for politics across Australia. What do voters need to know? ► https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2026/oct/28/victoria-state-election-2026-vic-explained-what-do-voters-need-to-know?CMP=gdnaus_yt James Ashby denies pursuing One Nation preference deal with Labor ahead of Victorian election ► https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2026/nov/05/james-ashby-denies-one-nation-preference-deal-labor-victoria-election-ntwnfb?CMP=gdnaus_yt Get the latest news at theguardian.com ► https://www.theguardian.com/au?CMP=gdnaus_yt Support Guardian Australia ► https://support.theguardian.com/contribute?CMP=gdnaus_yt Sign up to Guardian Australia's free daily newsletters, the Morning Mail and Afternoon Update ► https://www.theguardian.com/email-newsletters?CMP=gdnaus_yt Find or follow Guardian Australia: Website ► https://theguardian.com/au?CMP=gdnaus_yt Google News ► https://news.google.com/publications/CAAqBwgKMNTrogswl_a6Aw Instagram ► https://instagram.com/guardianaustralia TikTok ► https://tiktok.com/@guardianaustralia LinkedIn ► https://linkedin.com/company/guardianaustralia Threads ► https://www.threads.net/@guardianaustralia WhatsApp Channels ► https://whatsapp.com/channel/0029VaBW8Bn6hENlReOC9j0l Facebook ► https://facebook.com/theguardianaustralia Newsletters ► https://www.theguardian.com/email-newsletters?CMP=gdnaus_yt Subscribe to the Guardian's other YouTube channels: The Guardian ► https://www.youtube.com/@theGuardian Guardian Football ► https://www.youtube.com/@guardianfootball Football Weekly ► https://www.youtube.com/@FootballWeeklyPodcast Guardian News ► https://www.youtube.com/@guardiannews It's Complicated ► https://www.youtube.com/@ItsComplicated Today in Focus Podcast ► https://www.youtube.com/@todayinfocuspodcast Politics Weekly Podcasts ► https://www.youtube.com/@politicsweekly Stateside Podcast ► https://www.youtube.com/@statesidepodcast Science Weekly Podcast ► https://www.youtube.com/@ScienceWeeklyPod The Guardian Podcasts ► https://www.youtube.com/@theguardianpodcasts Guardian Live ► https://www.youtube.com/@GuardianLive #victoria #elections #australia #vicpol #springst #vicvotes #victoriaelection