This Shocked Us (High Probability vs Low Probability)
Options Class (free) https: https://bit.ly/3Wq6Zs6 Our iron condor backtest was profitable overall, but one volatility environment was losing money. We walk you through our trading plan, VIX analysis and curve-fitting pitfalls so you can better evaluate when your strategy has an edge. 00:00 A profitable backtest with a hidden weakness 01:09 Why a high win rate isn't enough 02:05 The 80/20 approach to strategy development 03:33 How our iron condor works 04:31 Six years of results and capital at risk 05:54 Why constantly changing rules creates problems 06:32 Four parts of our trading plan 07:29 Finding more edge without curve fitting 08:31 Separating trades into VIX groups 09:22 Comparing results across volatility environments 10:19 What skipping low-VIX trades changed 10:59 What the filter still needs to prove 11:59 Deciding when your strategy is worth trading SMB Disclosures: https://www.smbtraining.com/blog/smb-disclosures
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